Who will be next superpower ? India or China

Hello Tilters ,
Today's subject is Can India become a Superpower in 2020 ? Who will be next superpower India or China ? Here are some basic information and my personal opinions . As you know where there is a will, there is a way ! So don't mind , if I say India will not superpower in 2020 . Let's we start ....

In a First view my answer is -

No.

Mainly because less than 4 years left.

A superpower country is a combination of strong military might, economic dominance, political influence ans mostly a cultural hegemony.
(human development , education and internal peace is not directly associated with term superpower.)

Just google and it is easy to find various data, reports and graphs to compare the above parameters among different major countries. Also, existing value, growth rate and future expectations can be shown by various charts, graphs and facts.

In military might, US is only country which has commands distributed into globe zones and not in national zones. It reflects the meaning that US has direct planning and preparedness to fight all kinds of war at virtually any place in the world. The technical advancement and innovation of US is known to world. US military expenditure is more than the same of next 12 countries combined together!!!
India is not like Russia (better say USSR, before 1991) which had highly centralized command and a will to invest highly in military strength.
India is not like China which has capacity to invest heavy money for defense import and developments.

India is not like Israel which hold military training for all and function as proxy power of west.
Further as per present status we need facility and scope for defense innovation even after having good skill and will. Size of army is not sufficiently important today. We just achieved nuclear submarine and do not have "double nuclear" which is a nuclear submarine with ability to deliver nuclear missile from hiding. We lack strong Aircraft carrier ships too. ICBMs are not very precise.
We need more time at present rate.

In economics, we are still not sufficiently open to boost high GDP growth rate, however existing growth is high in world. System is full of corruption and sluggish due to technical and awareness issues.
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In politics, india has good record of diplomatic balance but becomes coward when there is need to stand strong and behave offensive. A superpower not only defends but has ability to show the offensive face whenever required. Examples include stand on terror and expression on border issues. India has to bring back its neighbors into command which slowly slipped to china.

Cultural hegemony is slow expanding one and generally follows the economic strength and high standerd of living. Not much is sold like "made in India". Not much is marketed like " designed in India" or like " spirit of Great Indian technology". Most of people in world talk about US, China , Japan, UK etc. Talks of India is rapidly expanding in common people of globe but it is still far from the highlight news.

Yes it will take little more years and will surely become a superpower by just maintaining the national unity and integrity.

* Tilters, let's think some positive.....

India already is one of the most powerful countries.

Only thing left in its arsenal is induction of ICBMs (Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles) with range in excess of 10,000 Km.

Agni VI currently in development with range of around 12,000 Km is slated to be under trial by 2018.

Other than that, India achieved Nuclear Triad capability, Aircraft Carriers, Nuclear Submarines, Own GPS satellite networks, etc which does make it a Super-power. Along with it, some form of coalition with US, Japan, Australia and other South-East Asian countries will provide a final push to the level of a Super power.

I guess what you wanted to know was related to India being a “Developed Country”. That will still take couple of decades, primarily due to huge Population and slow Infrastructure development.

* Think some General -

How India can become a super power ?

After all what constitutes a world-leader :

1.If its population , we are on course to top the charts , we will overtake china by 2022

2. Is it military strength , we have the world’s fourth largest army

3. Is it nuclear capacity , we are among the top ten nuclear powers of the world

4. Is it the economy , well we are the third largest economy on the PPP basis and we continue to grow , even when the rest of the world took a beating in the last few years , we are growing at 7.6 %

But somehow , none of that adds up to me , to what I think India really can aim to contribute to the world in this part of 21 century . After all what are things that adds up to become a super- power .Let us understand all this by going back to history . What was the political scenario of the world before 1914 (ww1) , was it a multipolar world ? was it a bipolar world ? or was it a unipolar world . the the answer will be – the world was a multipolar world with Britain, France , Germany ,Spain as it major powers . After 1945(ww2) the political scenario of the world changed to a bipolar world with US on one end and USSR on another .And the political scenario of the world as of now is , we see US as a major super power , and China , Russia and India are also in the race . From the last five decades , US has been successful in maintaining its hegemonic status due to its strong economy , muscled army , navy and nuclear power , but despite this , the things that have contributed the most is America’s soft power -Hollywood , MTV , American lifestyle , and its Music . All these things have contributed significantly in America’ s growth story and in spreading its soft power , which (softpower) has helped America tremendously in becoming a global super power . Similarly , Yoga(Indian lifestyle) , Bollywood , Ayurveda can contribute in India’s growth story .

The world is changing and so is the economic and political scenario .China will overtake US economy in the coming few years , but spreading its soft power will remain a challenge . (Soft power –its essentially the ability of a country to attract others because of its culture , its political values)

Yoga – India’s soft power

From the time memorial , India has attracted many countries for its spices , pearls and textiles . Buddhism in India also attracted many scholars like Fa-Hien , Hsüan-tsang . Those were India’s glorious days . Post independence it is first occasion when the world has recognized India’s soft power . International Yoga Day on June 21, legitimize India’s soft power and its grand comeback on world stage .

Modi Style of Branding India - By spreading its Soft power

For a country to become super power , leadership plays a crucial role . Leaders like John F Kennedy , Deng Xiaoping and Lee Kaun Yew changed the future of their countries . Our current PM Narendra Modi has not only become popular in India , on the contest of popularity in America Modi is beating Mr Xinping hands down and the whole world is singing the melody of Modi (Modi , Modi , Modi …..) .

1. Delivering his speech in hindi at UN (sep 2014 )
2. Spreading the thought of Vasudev-Kutumbhkam( world is a family ) to the world
3. Showcasing India’s cultural uniqueness to the world (wearing traditional clothes on int. tours)

All this have contributed immensely in building India’s soft power . World has started recognising India’s soft-power . Days are not far behind when this world will also see India becoming a super power

~Jai Hind ~

!! Dreams for Superpower !!

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